Wednesday, September 2, 2009

PAS DETERMINES GOVERNMENT AT 13TH ELECTION

Malaysia political scenario in PRU-13 will come to depend on various factors including the majority of voters according to race. If competition occurs between two corners of the DAP and MCA, whereas the area has 55% Chinese voters and 45% per cent Malay voters, then both the opportunity to win because people based on per cent.


The question, to which direction 40% Malay voters in a corner of two quite impossible because the DAP will lose 55% of voters in the Chinese and the DAP would be impossible even lost the support of 30% votes from the Chinese because the Chinese are likely formerly National Front supporters will turn back support DAP in the interest of political and economic agitasi them.

If DAP can reach 30% from 55% of Chinese voters, it can not guarantee the DAP will win without the support of 20% of votes from the Malay students. The same scenario will occur if there are voters in the Malay DAP and it will not be changed to support DAP PAS or PKR.

If Pakatan Rakyat leaders realize that political scenario more complex because the BN will be 'the means' to renew their mandate, all partners Pakatan Rakyat must back up each other back-up for victory as 'Political Backup back up' this alone is the most feared by all levels of UMNO leaders.

While UMNO leaders to use the mainstream media, police, SPRM, and now the court is also used to break ties brought unity in Pakatan Rakyat, UMNO, but political future depends on the weakness Pakatan Rakyat.

UMNO leaders realize the strength of Pakatan Rakyat, UMNO to create a plot arranged by Datuk Tajul Rosli Ghazali want to hold the mixture with PAS in Perak. Before the coup outside the constitution made to overthrow the leadership of PAS Pakatan Rakyat government in Perak. Coalition fails because it does not get the blessings of President and former PAS Perak Menteri Besar Dato Seri Nizar Jamaluddin.

Top UMNO leaders have no option other than 'use' SPRM capture two Assembly PKR and DAP persuade an Assembly set up to support the Barisan Nasional Government of Perak. Two Assembly PKR then diheboh-hebohkan by SPRM as those who accept bribes. If both the Assembly to support the BN then corruption is still there but the 'frozen' in the file cabinet SPRM.

Another experiment diplomatic leaders to persuade senior UMNO leaders to leave Pakatan Rakyat PAS and UMNO established with a Government of National Unity that is not formulated. If the Government of National Unity is so, how the Barisan Nasional?

Questions that need not have the answers as PAS president has flatly rejected as Tok Guru Hadi Awang wonder why UMNO PAS is required for coupling to the Government of National Unity? The answer is quite clear that UMNO top leaders already know that PAS can not be ruled the Central Government, but PAS can prevent UMNO / BN ruling from the Central Government in PRU13 later.

If PAS inclined to Pakatan Rakyat, PAS and DAP can be ordered with the DAP and PAS, if inclined to UMNO / BN then UMNO / BN can rule. Difference if PAS support UMNO / BN, PAS will only be "added rice", but if the PAS in Pakatan Rakyat, PAS are factors and institutions important in the Pakatan Rakyat.

Waves in a turbulent storm the torso UMNO PAS because they realize they will determine the living dead in the elections even in Peninsular Malaysia Sabah UMNO still dominate, so they had to make 'rough play' the game 'knockout' in the PRU-13 later.

As a strategy that experts Alliance overthrow the government in Perak Dato Seri Najib Tun Razak will find the formula to create the opportunity to persuade Tok Guru Haji Hadi Awang and Tok Guru Nik Aziz Nik Mat work with UMNO and leave the Pakatan Rakyat.

Leaders and political observers assess the inane 'dangers and effect' PAS not only to UMNO but Pakatan Rakyat will chaff PAS while Najib has long been seen wand in left hand and PAS 'Aladdin Lamp' is in the hands of senior students. But what Najib want to get both?

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